So far this week, USD/CHF has shown a strong rebound following the spike to the downside last Friday when US jobs data came out slightly higher than expected. However, we viewed this move as only a temporary reaction, as the USDCHF pair had been trading at strong support.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, this drop was tracked as a three-wave correction, suggesting it was part of a broader uptrend. The potential for a continuation higher was supported by the incomplete Elliott Wave bullish pattern and the presence of an unfilled gap near recent highs, which remains unfilled today.
The Swiss National Bank’s surprising 50 basis point rate cut further bolstered the pair’s bullish outlook. The SNB chairman also hinted that additional rate cuts could be on the table heading into 2025, adding to the Swiss franc’s weakness.Technically, the break above channel resistance signals that a fifth wave is underway, potentially targeting the 0.90–0.91 area. This zone could mark a limited upside later this month or in early January when the broader US dollar cycle may conclude as Trump takes office.
Get Full Access To Our Premium Elliott Wave Analysis For 14 Days. Click here.
By using Wavetraders website, any services, products, and content contained here, you agree that use of our service is entirely at your own risk. You understand that there is a very high degree of risk involved in trading on the markets. We assume no responsibility or liability for your trading and investment results. The charts, and all articles published on www.wavetraders.com are provided for informational and educational purposes only!
By using the information and services of www.ew-forecast.com you assume full responsibility for any and all gains and losses, financial, emotional or otherwise, experienced, suffered or incurred by you.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.0500 amid light trading
EUR/USD struggles to capitalize on recent upside and oscillates in a narrow range below 1.0500 in European trading on Monday. However, the pair's downside remains cushioned by persistent US Dollar weakness and an upbeat mood. Focus shifts to central bank talks.
GBP/USD ranges near 1.2600 as US Dollar steadies
GBP/USD keeps its range near 1.2600 in the early European session on Monday. The pair stays support amid a subdued US Dollar price action following Friday's disappoining US Retail Sales data. Thin trading is likely to extend as US markets are closed in observance of Presidents' Day.
Gold: Bulls have the upper hand near $2,900 amid trade war fears and weaker USD
Gold regained positive traction on Monday amid sustained USD weakness. Concerns about Trump’s tariffs further benefit the safe-haven XAU/USD pair. The fundamental and technical setup underpin prospects for additional gains.
Five fundamentals for the week: Peace talks, Fed minutes and German election stand out Premium
US President Donald Trump remains prominent, especially in a week when high-level peace talks kick off. Nevertheless, the Commander-in-Chief competes with the world's most powerful central bank, and other events are of interest as well.
Tariffs likely to impart a modest stagflationary hit to the economy this year
The economic policies of the Trump administration are starting to take shape. President Trump has already announced the imposition of tariffs on some of America's trading partners, and we assume there will be more levies, which will be matched by foreign retaliation, in the coming quarters.
The Best Brokers of the Year
SPONSORED Explore top-quality choices worldwide and locally. Compare key features like spreads, leverage, and platforms. Find the right broker for your needs, whether trading CFDs, Forex pairs like EUR/USD, or commodities like Gold.