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Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.0500 amid light trading

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.0500 amid light trading

EUR/USD struggles to capitalize on recent upside and oscillates in a narrow range below 1.0500 in European trading on Monday. However, the pair's downside remains cushioned by persistent US Dollar weakness and an upbeat mood. Focus shifts to central bank talks. 

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD ranges near 1.2600 as US Dollar steadies

GBP/USD ranges near 1.2600 as US Dollar steadies

GBP/USD keeps its range near 1.2600 in the early European session on Monday. The pair stays support amid a subdued US Dollar price action following Friday's disappoining US Retail Sales data. Thin trading is likely to extend as US markets are closed in observance of Presidents' Day. 

GBP/USD News
Gold: Bulls have the upper hand near $2,900 amid trade war fears and weaker USD

Gold: Bulls have the upper hand near $2,900 amid trade war fears and weaker USD

Gold regained positive traction on Monday amid sustained USD weakness. Concerns about Trump’s tariffs further benefit the safe-haven XAU/USD pair. The fundamental and technical setup underpin prospects for additional gains. 

Gold News
Cardano set for 20% rally as bullish bets increase

Cardano set for 20% rally as bullish bets increase

Cardano price extends its rally on Monday after gaining more than 13% last week. On-chain metrics suggest a bullish picture as ADA’s long-to-short ratio reached the highest level in over a month. 

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Tariffs likely to impart a modest stagflationary hit to the economy this year

Tariffs likely to impart a modest stagflationary hit to the economy this year

The economic policies of the Trump administration are starting to take shape. President Trump has already announced the imposition of tariffs on some of America's trading partners, and we assume there will be more levies, which will be matched by foreign retaliation, in the coming quarters.

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S&P 500

The Standard & Poor's 500, abbreviated as the S&P 500, or just "the S&P” is a market value-weighted index of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). It is seen as a leading indicator of U.S. equities and generally perceived as the most representative.

The S&P 500 stock market index, maintained by S&P Dow Jones Indices, comprises exactly 505 common stocks – including two share classes of stock from 5 of its component companies – issued by 500 large-cap companies and traded on American stock exchanges (including the 30 companies that compose the Dow Jones Industrial Average, DJIA) and covers about 80% of the American equity market by capitalization. The index is weighted by free-float market capitalization, so more valuable companies account for relatively more of the index. The index constituents and the constituent weights are updated regularly using rules published by S&P Dow Jones Indices.

The companies of the index are selected by the S&P Index Committee, a team of analysts and economists at Standard & Poor's following selection criteria including market size, liquidity and industry grouping.

Over time, the S&P 500 can be used as a benchmark for the economy.


HISTORIC HIGHS AND LOWS FOR S&P 500

  • All-time records: Max: 3397 on 20/02/2020 - Min: 4.4 on 05/1932
  • Last 5 years: Max: 3397 on 20/02/2020 - Min: 1807 on 11/02/2016

* Data as of February 2020


ASSETS THAT INFLUENCE THE S&P 500 THE MOST

  • Currencies: USD.
  • Commodities: Oil and Gold.
  • Bonds: T-Bond (Treasury bond is a marketable, fixed-interest U.S. government debt security).

ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE THE S&P 500

Since the S&P 500 is a benchmark of American stocks, what will impact its value is related to all those decisions and figures that affect the results of big companies in the USA. That is, among others:

  • Economic indicators of inflation (CPI, PPI,...), consumer confidence (as Michigan Consumer Confidence Index), growth (GDP), employment (Non Farm Payrolls) and salaries (Average Hourly Wages)
  • interest rates decided by the Federal Reserve System, which is the central banking system of the United States of America. It was created on December 23, 1913, with the enactment of the Federal Reserve Act, after a series of financial panics led to the desire for central control of the monetary system in order to alleviate financial crises. Jerome Powell is the 16th Chair of the Federal Reserve, serving in that office since February 2018. He was nominated to the Fed Chair position by former President Donald Trump and confirmed by the United States Senate.
  • Fiscal policy, trade deals, business laws decided by the US administration (Donald Trump), but also by the US Treasury Department (Scott Bessent) and the US Department of Commerce (Jeremy Pelter). The US Department of the Treasury's mission is to maintain a strong economy and create economic and job opportunities by promoting the conditions that enable economic growth and stability at home and abroad, strengthen national security by combating threats and protecting the integrity of the financial system, and manage the U.S. Government’s finances and resources effectively. The US Department of Commerce is an executive department of the federal government concerned with promoting economic growth. Among its tasks are gathering economic and demographic data for business and government decision-making, and helping to set industrial standards
  • Energy prices such as electricity, oil, etc...because they have impact on production costs for those companies that are part of the S&P500.