GBP/USD falls below 1.2150 as USD rebounds
Following an earlier recovery attempt, GBP/USD turned south and declined below 1.2100 in the second half of the day on Friday. The negative shift seen in risk mood amid rising geopolitical tensions helps the US Dollar outperform its rivals and hurts the pair.
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The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the four-hour chart declined to 40, pointing to a bearish tilt in the short term. 1.2200 (psychological level, static level, 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), 50-period SMA) aligns as a key pivot point for the pair.
Once 1.2200 is confirmed as support, GBP/USD could extend its recovery toward 1.2250 (20-period SMA) and 1.2300 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement of the latest downtrend).
If GBP/USD fails to hold above 1.2200, sellers could show interest. On the downside, interim support seems to have formed at 1.2170 (static level) before 1.2130 (static level) and 1.2100 (psychological level, static level).
GBP/USD lost more than 100 pips on Thursday and erased all the gains it recorded in the first half of the week. Early Friday, the pair staged a rebound and stabilized above 1.2200.
US Treasury bond yields surged higher on Thursday after the September inflation report and helped the US Dollar (USD) outperform its rivals.
Although the US Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the annual Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, edged lower to 4.1% from 4.3% as forecast in September, underlying details of the report revived expectations for one more Federal Reserve rate increase later in the year. The so-called 'supercore inflation' increased 0.6% on a monthly basis, highlighting a lack of progress in the sticky part of inflation.
Early Friday, the 10-year US T-bond yield corrects lower after rising more than 3% on Thursday and makes it difficult for the USD to build on recent gains. Meanwhile, US stock index futures trade modestly higher.
If US yields continue to push lower in the second half of the day, the USD could stay on the back foot and allow GBP/USD to stretch higher ahead of the weekend. On the flip side, a cautious opening in Wall Street alongside recovering US yields could weigh on the pair.
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The Pound Sterling snapped its recovery against the United States Dollar (USD), as GBP/USD reversed sharply from a three-week high near 1.2350. It remains to be seen if the GBP/USD pair can resume its recent uptrend ahead of the key United Kingdom’s (UK) employment and Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data in the week ahead.