Dogecoin (DOGE) Price mirrors XRP rally as SEC acknowledges Grayscale ETF Filings

• Dogecoin price rose 3% on Friday, crossing the $0.28 level for the first time in 10 days.
• Dogecoin open interest at $2.42 billion declined by $60 million in the last 48 hours, signaling short traders closing positions.
• Technical indicators suggest the DOGE rally could enter another leg-up in the days ahead. 

Dogecoin price surged 3% on Friday, extending its weekly timeframe gains to 17% as ETF speculation gains traction. The acknowledgment of Grayscale’s XRP and Dogecoin ETF applications by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) fueled the latest bullish DOGE price breakout.

Dogecoin (DOGE) Hits 7-Day Peak as SEC Acknowledges Grayscale ETF Filings

Dogecoin price action has been on an uptrend in recent months amid a shift in the presidential regime. Elon Musk’s increasing involvement in Donald Trump’s administration and the establishment of the D.O.G.E. (Department of Government Efficiency) has amplified media awareness around Dogecoin. The bullish narrative strengthened on Friday after the SEC formally acknowledged Grayscale’s ETF filings for XRP and DOGE.

While the recognition is part of the SEC’s routine process, it signals a potential shift in the agency’s approach to altcoin-related ETFs. Under former Chair Gary Gensler, similar filings were dismissed outright. However, the current acknowledgment suggests a changing regulatory landscape under Trump’s leadership, which has included promises to relax crypto regulations.

“This is a good sign for altcoins,” Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Eric Balchunas noted on X. “In the past, these assets were told to withdraw immediately after filing. The fact that they remain on the table slightly increases our already optimistic odds of approval.”

Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Action | Feb 15

Dogecoin’s price jumped over 3% within the daily timeframe, extending its weekly gains to 17.3%. The cryptocurrency crossed $0.29 for the first time in 10 days, signaling renewed market optimism.

As of press time, Dogecoin’s market capitalization stands at $41.4 billion, reflecting heightened investor interest and ETF-driven speculation.

DOGE Open Interest dip signals short traders’ $60M capitulation

Despite Dogecoin’s 3% gains in the spot market, derivatives market trends suggest even more upside potential ahead. Data from Coinglass reveals that Dogecoin’s open interest has declined by $60 million over the last 48 hours, settling at $2.42 billion.

Dogecoin Open Interest vs. DOGE Price 

Open interest represents the total value of outstanding futures contracts. A sharp decline in this metric often suggests short traders are closing out their positions—a phenomenon known as short capitulation. This occurs when bearish traders exit en masse to mitigate losses, reducing selling pressure and paving the way for further price appreciation.

Short capitulation is often a precursor to major price upswings. When leveraged short positions get squeezed out, it allows for stronger upward momentum, especially when paired with bullish fundamentals such as the DOGE ETF acknowledgement by the US SEC. 

If ETF-driven enthusiasm continues and open interest remains suppressed, Dogecoin could see further gains in the days ahead, potentially targeting new local highs above $0.30.

Dogecoin Price Forecast: $0.30 breakout could trigger further upside

Dogecoin price has climbed 15.88% over the past seven days, now trading at $0.27991 after testing resistance at $0.28328. The uptrend is supported by a steady increase in trading volume, indicating strong market participation. 

The price is approaching the midline of the Keltner Channel at $0.28185, a potential pivot zone that could determine the next directional move. A breakout above this level could see DOGE pushing toward the upper band at $0.33012, aligning with the next major resistance.

Dogecoin Price Forecast (DOGEUSDT) 

Momentum indicators are leaning bullish but remain in a cautious zone. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 45.63, still below the 50 neutral mark but climbing from oversold conditions. This signals improving buying pressure but leaves room for further accumulation before confirming a full bullish reversal. If the RSI breaches 50 alongside increasing volume, DOGE could sustain its breakout, potentially testing $0.30 and beyond.

However, failure to hold above the midline of the Keltner Channel could invite bearish pressure. If DOGE retraces below $0.28, support at $0.23358 may be revisited, invalidating the immediate bullish outlook.
 

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